New Census Estimates Show Slight Changes
For Congressional Apportionment Now,
But Point to Larger Changes by 2020
(From Electrion Data Services) New Census Bureau population estimates released today show four states would change their congressional representation compared to what they officially received with the 2010 Census and apportionment process four years ago. This represents a doubling of the number of states in just the past year. The Bureau’s 2013 estimates showed the state of North Carolina would be gaining an additional district (their 14 th) if the new population estimates were used for apportionment, while the state of Minnesota would lose a congressional district (going from their current 8 districts down to 7 districts). The new 2014 estimates shows the state of Texas will also gain a district (going from 36 to 37 districts), while the state of Pennsylvania will drop from 18 to 17 districts if apporti onment was done with the new numb ers. All other states would keep the same number of representatives they were awarded in December, 2010 when the official 2010 Census numbers were released.
While the Census Bureau has suffered budget cutbacks that have eliminated the production of state level population projections for upcoming decades, Election Data Services, Inc. has instead generated a simplified dataset by projecting forward the rates of change in populations from 2010 to 2014 reported by the Bureau within each state out to 2020. Using this new set of data, the apportionment calculations show that between 14 and 17 states could gain or lose districts by the time the Census is taken in 2020 in six years. The gainers and losers are:
States Gaining Districts States Loosing Districts
Arizona +1 (from 9 to 10) Alabama -1 (from 7 to 6)
Calif.+1 (from 53 to 54) Illinois -1 (from 18 to 17)
Colorado +1 (from 7 to 8) Michigan -1 (from 14 to 13)
Florida +1 (from 27 to 28) Minnesota -1 (from 8 to 7)
NOTE: Alabama is also losing some influence in Congress because of the retirement of Representative Spencer Bachus after 22 years in The House.
Read the entire report from Election Data Services HERE.
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