Projections of deaths in each state indicate as many as 1,353 in Alabama...with April 20th the peak date. To put that in perspective, 953 people died in Alabama traffic accidents in 2018. and 10,419 died of cancer in 2014.
"The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation's COVID-19 projections were cited in recent White House briefings and take into account how the pandemic is playing out in several countries around the world. They incorporate the current trend line of deaths in U.S. states and the estimated impact of social distancing measures to predict when each state might reach peak daily deaths and hospital usage.
While projections like these are imprecise, they're useful to policymakers and hospital leaders trying to prepare for surges. The model was designed to give hospitals an idea of how quickly they need to expand capacity and by how much.
That NPR story includes an interactive program to see the projected deaths in each state and the peak date for those deaths.
The official Alabama count of confirmed cases in Montgomery County as of Saturday afternoon, April 11, is about to hit 100.
UPDATE it hit 106 since I posted this.
No comments:
Post a Comment