Chances of an epidemic spread in your county?

     According to a new study reported in The New York Times, Montgomery County Alabama has a 100% chance of the Covid19 illness to become epidemic:

"People who have been infected and have mild symptoms, or none at all, can pass the disease to others. Those cases, often undetected, are a prime driver of the outbreaks, Dr. Meyers said. Even in counties with no reported cases, there is roughly a 9 percent chance that an undetected outbreak is already underway, she said."

                                                                                           From The N.Y. Times story

 

Other Alabama area counties? 

Pike: 91%
Autauga: 95%
Elmore: 98%
Dallas: 84%
Lowndes:70%
Crenshaw: 51%

HERE's the N.Y. Times story with an interactive county map.